| I had the pleasure of being invited on a friend's yacht | | | | that we must swallow our pride - an admittedly difficult |
| to sail in a race on Sydney Harbour yesterday. On | | | | feat for many traders. Grappling with our own motives |
| board, as one of our motley crew, I met a top ranking | | | | amidst the psychological matrix that is the stock |
| corporate executive from one of Australia's largest | | | | market is, to say the least, a bewildering struggle. |
| banks, who we'll call 'Phil' here for the purpose of this | | | | In an almost paradoxical fashion the stock market can |
| article. After the race ended and after being told of | | | | create whelps out of us through both our losses as |
| my trading experience, he told me he has a large | | | | well as our victories. We are unnerved when we lose |
| stock portfolio, many of which are speculative | | | | and must somehow muster the courage to tentatively |
| resources stocks. He said that he's excited by all the | | | | re-enter the markets. Yet, potentially even more |
| money he's making and wondering how long this has | | | | dangerous are the unbridled successes that often |
| been going on? | | | | distort a trader's perception about their ability to |
| As would be expected, 'Phil' also asked me for some | | | | regulate further success - successes that work to |
| "hot tips" for more stocks to buy. He was surprised | | | | chide the future admission of failure. |
| with my reply when I told him Daryl Guppy's standard | | | | Who would have thought that winning could actually |
| response of "Tips are for waiters" and that I thought | | | | become a setup for losing - a conundrum of the worst |
| he was asking the wrong questions. (Daryl Guppy is a | | | | kind? I know of no other occupation that has the ability |
| well known Stock Trader and International bestselling | | | | to masquerade as both friend and foe and then make |
| author - see | | | | you think that you can tell the difference. |
| Rather, I explained he should be asking: | | | | Your experience is, I believe, a treasure worth perhaps |
| * How much longer will this last? | | | | more than the sum of your losses. It reminds me of |
| * When it finishes how will I know & what will I do? | | | | how the most seaworthy vessels have typically been |
| * How do I find out about Technical Analysis and | | | | known to be the ones that have weathered the most |
| Money & Risk Management? | | | | devastating storms. Yours is a stellar effort, my friend. I |
| * What's a Trading Plan and how do I put one together | | | | will most certainly be purchasing your book. |
| and follow it? | | | | Thanks also to Daryl and Alan for their assistance and |
| * How and when do I add to the stocks I already | | | | encouragement in helping to mould John's encounter |
| own? | | | | into the best trading tool of all - practical experience..." |
| * How should I structure my portfolio regarding | | | | During 2001, not long after losing our home, we made |
| individual stock risk, sector risk and total portfolio risk? | | | | contact with Daryl and I take this opportunity here to |
| * What's my exit strategy for each stock I own? | | | | acknowledge and thank him once again for his wisdom |
| * What's my exit strategy for my whole portfolio? | | | | and support since that time and also to Alan Hull and |
| * How do I keep accurate records and monitor my | | | | Dr Van Tharp since then. Daryl subsequently invited |
| performance? | | | | me to write a short article for his regular weekly |
| * What am I going to do to learn more about myself | | | | newsletter (Tutorials in Applied Technical Analysis) |
| and my own psychological weaknesses (many of | | | | which became the first of many articles as my wife |
| which I may not even realise I have) that can make all | | | | Angela and I began our search for education. |
| the difference as to whether I win or lose long term? | | | | He made a strong point that by concentrating on the |
| 'Phil' was genuinely surprised that I had taken the wind | | | | research needed to write the articles we would pick |
| out of his sails - luckily it was after our sailing race | | | | up good habits and through sharing with others, we |
| together, but hopefully before he loses his own | | | | ourselves would be more inclined to stick with the |
| financial race. | | | | discipline involved in the subject being covered. |
| In January at I issued a worldwide press release to | | | | We have recently collated the articles I have written |
| caution unprepared novice investors and traders of the | | | | for his newsletter and they are now available as 'The |
| potential pitfalls ahead in the market. My wife Angela | | | | Atkinson - Guppy Articles - Stock Market Educational |
| and I lost our waterfront home on Sydney Harbour in | | | | Options for Investing Online & Online Trading - |
| the 'Tech wreck' of 2000, so we speak from hard | | | | Opportunity for a Home Based Business'. Most of |
| personal experience. | | | | these articles deal with concepts and trading skills |
| As complete novices in the market in 1999, we | | | | which are still relevant to readers today and include the |
| doubled on paper a large stock portfolio in only six | | | | following: |
| months. Then in less than a year we suffered | | | | * CONDITIONAL STOP LOSS ORDERS: A real life |
| catastrophic losses in the tech stock crash of 2000 | | | | comparison between using two brokers for monitoring |
| and beyond: | | | | stop loss orders - the true cost of slippage |
| * We were set back more than 15 years financially | | | | * DIRECTORS DEALINGS: A snapshot study of the |
| and emotionally | | | | Australian share market to determine, if by monitoring |
| * We were forced to sell our waterfront home - the | | | | the purchases and sales of company directors with |
| very same house we had set as a goal soon after | | | | their own shares, whether it is possible to obtain an |
| arriving in Australia as new and penniless immigrants in | | | | insight into the future direction of the share price and |
| 1979. We began renting what I called a 'dog box' - as | | | | hitch a ride in the right direction - or jump ship with |
| the housing market then rocketed. | | | | them. |
| * Angela was working as a retail assistant | | | | * EXPECTANCY - the net profit or loss that you can |
| I have a First Class Honors Degree in Civil Engineering | | | | expect over a large number of single unit trades. A |
| that didn't help. In fact I have since come to understand | | | | series of articles with thanks to the work of Dr Van |
| that it actually helped to work against me. With our | | | | Tharp, author of 'Trade Your Way to Financial |
| experience of riding some of the largest waves (up | | | | Freedom' |
| and down) in the market and having lost hundreds of | | | | * TAKE-OVERS: A brief overview of some of the |
| thousands of dollars in the process, we know more | | | | strategies traders apply to take-overs. |
| than most stock traders in the world of the pitfalls that | | | | * AVALANCHE SELLING and KANGAROO TAILS: A |
| await unsuspecting novice traders and investors. | | | | series of articles on the recent phenomenon in the |
| We have since greatly appreciated being exposed to | | | | Australian share market caused by computerised |
| the successful methods taught by expert traders Alan | | | | automated conditional stop loss brokers savagely |
| Hull, Daryl Guppy, Jim Berg, Dr Van Tharp and others | | | | cascading sell orders into the market, with prices often |
| to trade profitably and with better risk control. | | | | rebounding several percent within minutes |
| The forum for serious investors is the only chatroom | | | | Through my writing articles and through our site, my |
| where you will find Daryl Guppy. We recently received | | | | wife Angela and I now aim to provide a 'Road Map of |
| the following response from a fellow Australian trader | | | | Discovery to the Stock Market' to help new and |
| Nathan Unger on that site (see below): | | | | existing online investors and traders find the trading |
| "...thank you for sharing. Your comments on this subject | | | | education information they need to initially survive the |
| are very insightful, and rightfully so considering your | | | | pitfalls ahead, then to thrive in the market. |
| near trading death experience, per se. Failure is always | | | | We wish you every success in 2005 and beyond and |
| such a difficult moniker to be branded with, for it | | | | trust that if you haven't done so already, you will be |
| involves us having to acknowledge that we were | | | | seeking out the answers to the questions I offered to |
| wrong. Of course, acknowledging our mistakes means | | | | my sailing team member 'Phil'. |