| Yes, you can make money on Betfair, laying false | | | | open to improvement but generally - the cards are on |
| favorites in handicaps. | | | | the table for these horses. |
| Laying horses to lose is mainly about common sense - | | | | Unlike 2 or 3 year old handicaps, surprises are more |
| if you want to be a long term player, it simply wont | | | | uncommon - this gives us a great foundation for laying. |
| happen if you keep laying favorites in novice hurdles, | | | | What do I look for? Horses that have won previously |
| maiden races, auction races, bumper races or claimers | | | | and a re now being asked to do MORE - i.e up in |
| or sellers. | | | | class, up (or down) in trip, these horses may also be |
| Why? | | | | carrying MORE weight - now horses unproven at the |
| Well, look at the stats, look at any course in the UK | | | | distance, unproven at rise in class, unproven at the |
| when they have a race meeting on and go to the | | | | track can all be good prospects to lay, however if the |
| racing post race cards for that meeting - open the | | | | opposition is pretty poor - the horse could still win - |
| drop down list under "favorites" and see for yourself | | | | Right? |
| the percentage of favorites that win these races. | | | | What we need to look at is - is this the only fancied |
| Novice Hurdles? these races can have a favorite WIN | | | | horse in the race? - do some of its market rivals have |
| rate as high as 45% at some courses - it's almost | | | | winning form?, is its winning form in the class of the |
| worth while BACKING them to win at some courses. | | | | race today (this is good). Have these rivals been |
| Some maiden races at certain courses have equally | | | | running on this surface before, have they been winning |
| high WIN rates... No, not for me. | | | | on this surface before, this distance, at this track etc. |
| No, I have to say, Handicaps are for me and the | | | | You will be surprised at how many horses are made |
| sprintier (is there such a word?) the better. - sprints are | | | | favorite even though the horse has never run at the |
| races of 5 or 6 Furlongs, and they usually get lots of | | | | track or distance. Some tracks are stiffer than |
| jostling at the start as the race is short and everyone | | | | others.you get the general idea - look for favorites in all |
| is trying to get the best position early on. | | | | age 4YO+ handicaps at tracks where the favorite |
| Now, not just any old handicaps - most tracks record | | | | wins less than 30% of the time in these races. Look |
| less favorites winning in all age handicaps, 4yo+ are | | | | for favorites expected to run up in class for the first |
| best. These are seasoned performers who have | | | | time, unsure at the distance, going etc - perhaps at this |
| shown their worth (or lack of it), yes some are still | | | | track for the first time. |